Entrepreneurship
22 min read

The Art of Decision-Making

Published on
January 12, 2023
Authors.
Patrick Mehrhoff
CEO | MEHRHOFF DIGITAL
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In the cut-throat business world, effective decision-making is a matter of life or death. Poor choices can lead a company to bankruptcy, while smart decisions can pave the way for success and growth. Yet, despite the importance of decision-making, many businesses need help to make good choices, often resulting in missed opportunities and dire outcomes.

Companies must carefully consider their options and choose the best course of action based on the information and insights to avoid going bust. This process of effective decision-making can lead to better outcomes and help businesses achieve their goals. In short, making intelligent choices is crucial for any company that wants to survive and thrive in today’s competitive landscape.

However, making effective decisions can take time and effort. It can be difficult and complex, especially in today’s fast-paced and uncertain business environment. Many factors and influences can impact the decision-making process, such as the quality of the information, the decision-maker’s biases and heuristics, and the organisation’s dynamics and culture.

To overcome these challenges, companies can use decision-making frameworks and methods that provide a structured and systematic approach to decision-making. These frameworks and techniques can help businesses to analyse and evaluate the decision and its potential outcomes and make more informed and effective decisions.

This essay will explore the importance of effective decision-making in business and provide an overview of some of the most helpful decision-making frameworks. We will also look at how these frameworks can be applied to different decisions and provide examples of companies successfully implementing them.

Decision-making: The three types of decisions every business should know

With an understanding of the importance of effective decision-making and an overview of some valuable frameworks, we can now delve deeper into the different types of decisions that businesses face. From big-bet decisions that can shape the company’s future to cross-cutting decisions that require input from multiple departments to delegated decisions that individual teams can handle, understanding the different types of decisions and how to approach them is crucial for making the best decisions.

Imagine standing at the foot of a mountain, staring at its towering peaks and jagged cliffs. Each decision is like a different path up the mountain, with challenges and opportunities. By understanding the terrain and choosing the right path, we can make our way to the summit and achieve our goals. So let’s take a closer look at the three main types of decisions businesses face big-bet, cross-cutting, and delegated decisions.

The high stakes of big-bet decisions: How to make the right choice

The first type of decision businesses face is the big-bet decision. These are infrequent but high-risk decisions that have the potential to shape the future of the company. Imagine standing at the base of a towering peak, gazing at the summit far above. Big-bet decisions are like the steep and treacherous path leading to the top, with numerous challenges and obstacles.

These decisions are often the domain of the top team and the board and require careful consideration and collaboration. Some examples of big-bet decisions include significant acquisitions, strategic partnerships, and large-scale investments. Making the right decision can considerably impact the company’s success, but making the wrong decision can be costly and even disastrous.

The cross-cutting decision: A balancing act of perspectives and priorities

The second type of decision businesses face is the cross-cutting decision. These decisions happen frequently and are high risk, requiring input and collaboration from multiple departments and teams. Imagine standing at the base of a mountain, with various paths leading in different directions. Cross-cutting decisions are like the junction where these paths meet, with each path representing another department or team.

These decisions require careful coordination and communication to ensure that all perspectives are considered and that the best decision is made. Some examples of cross-cutting decisions include pricing decisions, product development decisions, and marketing decisions. Making the right decision can drive growth and success, but making the wrong decision can result in wasted resources and missed opportunities.

Delegated decisions: The foundation of operational excellence

The third type of decision businesses face is the delegated decision. These decisions are frequent but low risk and can be effectively handled by an individual or working team with limited input from others. Imagine standing at the base of a mountain with a clear and well-defined path leading to the summit. Delegated decisions are like following this path with the necessary skills and knowledge to navigate the terrain and reach the destination.

These decisions are typically handled by teams or individuals with the expertise and experience to make the right decision. Some examples of delegated decisions include hiring decisions, budget decisions, and operational decisions. Making the right decision can drive efficiency and productivity, but making the wrong decision can result in wasted time and resources.

By understanding the different types of decisions businesses face, we can better prepare and equip ourselves to make the right choices and achieve our goals. Whether it’s a big-bet decision that can shape the company’s future, a cross-cutting decision that requires collaboration and coordination, or a delegated decision that an individual or team can handle, the right approach and decision-making framework can make all the difference.

Decision-making frameworks: The map and compass for business success

Now that we better understand the different types of decisions businesses face, it’s time to explore the various frameworks and methods to help us make better decisions. These frameworks provide a structured approach to evaluating options and considering their potential consequences, enabling us to weigh the pros and cons and make informed choices.

Imagine standing at the base of a mountain with multiple paths leading in different directions. Each decision-making framework is like a map or guidebook, providing valuable information and insights to help us choose the right path and navigate the terrain. So let’s take a closer look at some of the most popular and effective decision-making frameworks, including SWOT analysis, PESTEL analysis, Six Thinking Hats, Decision Tree, and Cost-Benefit Analysis.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT analysis is one of the most well-known and widely used decision-making frameworks. This framework is designed to help businesses identify their strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats, providing a balanced and holistic view of the business and its environment. Imagine standing at the base of a mountain, with a bird’s-eye view of the landscape and all its features. SWOT analysis is like a map that shows the peaks and valleys, the rivers and forests, the roads and trails, and the various other elements that make up the business and its surroundings.

By considering these four elements, businesses can better understand their current situation and identify potential paths forward.

  • Strengths and weaknesses are internal factors, such as the company’s resources, capabilities, and competencies.
  • Opportunities and threats are external factors, such as market trends, customer demands, and competitive forces.

By analysing these factors, businesses can uncover new insights and ideas and develop strategies and plans that capitalise on their strengths and opportunities while addressing their weaknesses and threats.

PESTEL analysis

Another popular decision-making framework is PESTEL analysis. This framework is similar to SWOT analysis but focuses on the

  • political,
  • economic,
  • social,
  • technological,
  • environmental,
  • and legal factors

that can impact the business.

Imagine standing at the base of a mountain, with a view of the surrounding landscape, the broader region, and its political, economic, and social conditions. PESTEL analysis is like a map that shows the various forces and influences that shape the business and its environment.

By considering these six factors, businesses can better understand the external environment in which they operate and how these factors can impact their decisions and actions.

  • Political factors, such as government policies and regulations, can affect the business directly or indirectly.
  • Economic factors, such as market trends and consumer demand, can impact the business’s revenues and profitability.
  • Social factors, such as demographic trends and cultural values, can affect the business’s customers, employees, and stakeholders.
  • Technological factors, such as new technologies and innovations, can impact the business’s products, services, and processes.
  • Environmental factors, such as climate change and natural disasters, can affect the business’s operations and sustainability.
  • And legal factors, such as contracts and regulations, can impact the business’s compliance and legal risks.

By analysing these factors, businesses can uncover new insights and opportunities and develop strategies and plans aligned with the external environment. PESTEL analysis can provide valuable insights and guidance and help businesses make more informed and effective decisions.

Six Thinking Hats

Another popular decision-making framework is the Six Thinking Hats method. This framework was developed by Edward de Bono and is based on the idea that the brain uses different modes of thinking for different types of tasks.

The Six Thinking Hats method uses six different coloured hats to represent these different modes of thinking:

  • White for facts and information
  • Red for emotions and feelings
  • Black for negatives and caution
  • Yellow for positives and benefits
  • Green for creativity and alternatives
  • Blue for overview and direction.

Imagine standing at the base of a mountain with a clear path leading to the summit. The Six Thinking Hats method is like a toolkit that provides different tools for different journey stages.

  • The white hat is like a flashlight that helps you see the facts and information relevant to the decision.
  • The red hat is like a compass that enables you to navigate your emotions and feelings.
  • The black hat is like a map showing potential pitfalls and dangers.
  • The yellow hat is like a pair of binoculars that helps you spot the opportunities and benefits.
  • The green hat is like a canvas and paints that allow you to explore different ideas and possibilities.
  • And the blue hat is like a compass that helps you orient yourself and set the direction for the journey.

The blue and red hats are both considered the compass because they help the decision-makers navigate the decision and its potential outcomes. The blue hat provides the overall direction and orientation of the decision and helps the decision-makers to focus on the big picture and the long-term goals. On the other hand, the red hat provides the emotional and subjective compass of the decision and helps the decision-makers understand and express their feelings and reactions to it.

Together, the blue and red hats provide a balanced and holistic approach to decision-making. On the hand, using the blue hat, the decision-makers can set the agenda and the goals for the decision and ensure that the decision is aligned with the broader strategy and objectives of the company. On the other hand, using the red hat, the decision-makers can express their concerns and reservations and avoid the pitfalls of groupthink and cognitive bias. By using the blue and red hats, the decision-makers can make more balanced and effective decisions and avoid the pitfalls of over-analysing or overreacting to the decision.

By using the Six Thinking Hats method, businesses can foster a more collaborative and creative approach to decision-making. By switching between different modes of thinking, they can consider the decision from different perspectives and generate a broader range of ideas and options. This can lead to better and more effective choices and a more engaged and satisfied team.

Decision Tree

Another decision-making framework that is commonly used is the Decision Tree. This framework is a graphical representation of the decision and its potential outcomes, with branches and nodes representing the different options and their associated probabilities and values.

Imagine standing at the base of a mountain with a tree growing beside you. The Decision Tree is like a map that shows the various paths you can take and the likely outcomes and rewards of each path.

By constructing a Decision Tree, businesses can visualise the decision and its potential consequences and evaluate the different options systematically and objectively. This can help them make more informed and rational decisions and avoid the biases and heuristics that can lead to suboptimal choices.

The Decision Tree can also help businesses assess the risks and uncertainties of the decision and determine the optimal level of investment and return.

Companies can make more effective and efficient decisions using the Decision Tree method and achieve better outcomes and results.

Cost-Benefit Analysis

One final decision-making framework that is worth mentioning is the Cost-Benefit Analysis. This framework is a quantitative approach that compares the costs and benefits of the decision and calculates the net present value (NPV) or the internal rate of return (IRR) of the decision.

Imagine standing at the base of a mountain with a bag of gold coins and a ledger that records your expenses and earnings.

The Cost-Benefit Analysis is like a map showing each path’s value and the expected return on your investment.

By conducting a Cost-Benefit Analysis, businesses can compare the costs and benefits of the decision in monetary terms and assess the financial viability of the decision. This can help them make more rational and objective decisions and avoid the pitfalls of sunk costs and opportunity costs.

The Cost-Benefit Analysis can also help businesses evaluate the risks and uncertainties of the decision and determine the optimal level of investment and return.

In conclusion, effective decision-making is essential for the success of any business. By using decision-making frameworks, such as SWOT analysis, PESTEL analysis, Six Thinking Hats, Decision Tree, and Cost-Benefit Analysis, companies can better evaluate their options and make informed and effective decisions.

These frameworks provide a structured and systematic approach to decision-making, helping businesses navigate the complex and ever-changing business landscape. Like a map or a guidebook, they provide valuable insights and guidance and allow companies to chart a course to success.

Unleashing the power of decision-making frameworks for different decision types

One way to apply decision-making frameworks to different decision types is to consider the unique characteristics and challenges of each type of decision.

Big-bet decisions are high-stakes decisions that can significantly impact an organisation’s success or failure. It may be helpful to use decision-making frameworks like the Six Thinking Hats or Decision Tree analysis to make the best possible decisions. These frameworks help decision-makers identify and evaluate the various factors that may impact the decision and provide a structured approach to considering different options and choosing the best course of action.

On the other hand, cross-cutting decisions are complex and multifaceted, often involving multiple teams and individuals. Empowering employees and providing clear roles and responsibilities are essential to make the best possible decisions. Decision-making frameworks like PESTEL analysis and SWOT analysis can help organisations identify and evaluate the factors that may impact the decision and make more informed and well-rounded decisions.

Delegated decisions involve lower levels of an organisation making decisions within a particular set of guidelines or constraints. In these situations, a data-driven approach and clear guidelines can be helpful. Decision-making frameworks like Cost-Benefit Analysis and the Decision Tree can provide a structured approach to evaluating different options and making informed decisions.

How I maximised marketing impact: The CMO’s Toolkit for Better Decisions

As a former CMO with a knack for making the impossible possible, I know a thing or two about maximising marketing impact. In this enlightening paragraph, I share my toolkit for better decision-making. I offer practical insights on tackling the various decision types a CMO may face, providing expert advice and best practices for elevating your marketing strategy and driving tangible results.

Big-bet decisions

For example, a CMO may be tasked with making a big-bet decision, such as allocating the marketing budget for the upcoming year. In this situation, the CMO could use the Six Thinking Hats method to consider the decision from multiple perspectives.

As a CMO, you allocate the marketing budget for the upcoming year. You need more money to spend and must decide how to allocate it across different channels and campaigns.

To apply the Six Thinking Hats method, you can use each of the six hats to consider the problem from a different perspective.

First, you can use the white hat to consider the available data and facts. This might include information on the performance of different marketing channels in the past, market research on consumer preferences and behaviours, and data on the effectiveness of all your campaigns. This can help you identify the most effective channels and campaigns and make data-driven decisions about allocating the budget.

Next, you can use the red hat to consider the emotional impact of different options. This might include assessing the emotional appeal of various campaigns and the potential impact on consumer emotions and behaviour. This can help you identify movements likely to resonate with consumers, drive engagement, and make decisions considering the emotional impact of different options.

Then, you can use the black hat to evaluate different options’ risks and potential drawbacks. This might include considering the potential for budget overspending, the potential for negative feedback or backlash, and the potential for campaigns to fail to meet their goals. This can help you to identify potential pitfalls and to make decisions that minimize risk.

The yellow hat may then weigh various solutions’ possible advantages and drawbacks. This might involve examining the possibility of greater brand exposure, higher sales or engagement, positive feedback, and word-of-mouth marketing. This can help you discover likely successful initiatives and make decisions that optimize the marketing budget’s potential advantages.

Then, using the green hat, seek imaginative and unique solutions to the problem. This might entail brainstorming fresh campaign concepts, investigating new channels or platforms, and evaluating unorthodox marketing tactics. This might help you develop unique and intriguing concepts and create campaigns that stand out from the crowd.

Sample

Finally, you can use the blue hat to consider the overall management and coordination of the marketing budget. This might include assessing the overall goals and objectives of the marketing plan and coordinating the different perspectives and ideas generated by the other hats. This can help you to develop a well-rounded and balanced marketing plan that considers all aspects of the problem and ensures that the marketing budget is allocated in the most effective way possible.

Cross-cutting decision

Alternatively, a CMO may face a cross-cutting decision, such as deciding which marketing channels and tactics to use. In this situation, the CMO could use the PESTEL analysis framework to consider the political, economic, social, technological, environmental, and legal factors that may impact the decision. This would allow the CMO to identify potential risks and opportunities and make a more informed and comprehensive decision.

PESTEL stands for Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental, and Legal. These six categories represent the primary external factors affecting an organization and its decision-making. By considering these factors, you can better understand the broader context in which your decision will be made and make more informed and strategic decisions.

For example, if you are considering the allocation of your marketing budget, you can use PESTEL to consider the following factors:

Political

Politics can have a significant impact on marketing budgets. For example, government policy or regulation changes can affect what marketing channels are available, how much advertising costs, and how risky or rewarding different campaigns might be. By taking politics into account, you can make decisions that fit current conditions and minimize potential risks.

Economic

Your marketing budget can make or break your business in today’s economy. When creating marketing decisions, it is essential to consider changes in consumer demand, market trends, and overall economic conditions. By being aware of these factors, you can create campaigns that are more likely to be successful and cost-effective.

Social

Different aspects of society can have an impact on marketing budgets. For example, consumer attitudes and behaviour changes can affect various campaigns’ success, influencing other marketing channels. By taking account of social factors, you can tailor your marketing strategy to better match consumer expectations and preferences.

Technological

As technology continues to develop, it will increasingly impact marketing budgets. For example, new marketing channels and opportunities may arise from technological advances, while existing channels may become more efficient. Considering these factors, you can make decisions that capitalize on current trends and developments.

Environmental

As consumers become more aware of environmental issues, companies must consider how this will affect their marketing budget. For example, campaigns that focus on sustainability may be more successful than those that don’t. Companies can make decisions that align with customer expectations by considering consumer attitudes towards environmental responsibility.

Legal

Finally, different industries are subject to various laws and regulations. For example, the financial sector is heavily regulated, while the clothing industry is not. This can impact the marketing budget in several ways. For example, changes in laws and regulations can affect the availability of marketing channels, the costs of advertising, and the potential risks and rewards of different campaigns. Considering the legal environment, you can make decisions that align with current regulations and minimize potential risks.

Sample

The PESTEL framework can provide valuable insights and context for decision-making as a CMO. By considering the various external factors that may impact your decision, you can make more informed and strategic decisions that align with the broader context in which your organization operates.

Delegated decision

Finally, as a CMO, you are often tasked with making difficult decisions that can significantly impact your company’s success. In these situations, weighing all potential options and outcomes is essential before making a final decision.

One method that can be helpful in these situations is the Decision Tree method. This involves visualizing the different potential consequences of each decision to choose the option that is most likely to lead to the desired outcome.

For example, say you are considering running one of three marketing campaigns — an event booth, webinar, or podcast series.

There are many potential outcomes when planning a marketing campaign. For example, choosing to host an event booth can result in different locations, types of events, and booth designs. Alternatively, opting for a webinar series could mean various topics, formats, and speaker profiles. Or selecting a podcast series could lead to different formats, topics, and guest profiles. No matter which route you choose, there are endless possibilities for your marketing campaign.

When choosing a marketing campaign, there are many factors to consider that will lead to the desired outcome. Events, webinars, podcasts and other tactics can all be influential in different ways. Selecting the right mix of activities based on your goals is essential. For example, an event booth might be an excellent choice to increase brand awareness, while a webinar series could be more effective in increasing engagement. And finally, a podcast series could be your best bet to increase sales.

Sample

The Decision Tree method is a handy tool for making decisions and solving problems. By seeing the potential outcomes of different choices, you can pick the most likely to get you the results you want, and make more intelligent, more strategic decisions. This can help you achieve your goals as a CMO and get better results.

By using the appropriate decision-making frameworks, a CMO can improve the quality and effectiveness of their decision-making and increase the chances of success in various decisions.

Conclusion

In conclusion, decision-making frameworks can benefit CMOs and other decision-makers. However, many decision-makers may need to know the different types of decisions and the appropriate frameworks for each type. By being aware of the various decision types and the relevant frameworks for each type, decision-makers can better understand the problem, consider different perspectives and factors, and make more informed and strategic decisions.

Furthermore, the implementation and follow-through of decisions are crucial for achieving successful outcomes. By implementing decisions promptly and effectively and following through on the actions and commitments associated with the findings, decision-makers can ensure that the decisions are put into practice and that the desired outcomes are achieved.

If you want to make intelligent and strategic choices, it’s crucial to understand the different types of decisions and the appropriate frameworks for each. By considering different perspectives, factors, and potential outcomes, you can make informed choices that are more likely to succeed. And remember, once you’ve made a decision, it’s essential to implement and follow through to ensure it happens and produces the desired results. In other words, don’t just talk the talk — walk the walk!